Marshall vs Southern Methodist 11/20/2010

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Southern Methodist is a heavy favorite winning 78% of simulations over Marshall. Kyle Padron is averaging 281 passing yards and 2.4 TDs per simulation and Zach Line is projected for 88 rushing yards and a 63% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 22% of simulations where Marshall wins, Brian Anderson averages 1.87 TD passes vs 0.76 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.96 TDs to 1.04 interceptions. Essray Taliaferro averages 42 rushing yards and 0.5 rushing TDs when Marshall wins and 40 yards and 0.24 TDs in losses. Southern Methodist has a 38% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 87% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SMETH -13.5

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